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Isis’ Strategy in Europe – Stability

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Isis's strategy in Europe - stability

Isis is much more than just a terrorist organization; moreover, it has goals – one of those being dominion through a European caliphate – and a European strategy, i.e., promising stability. This strategy is not absurd, for in the meantime European intelligentsia are unwittingly increasing instability through their policies – for instance immigration.

 

Isis' strategy in Europe: the goal is dominion through stability, not instability
Isis’ strategy in Europe – the goal is dominion through stability, not instability

I know what I am writing will come as an absolute surprise to most readers: What are you saying? Isis means chaos, it is a terrorist organization which wants to destabilize the entire world!

To begin with, I am going to analyze Isis’ strategy, not its goals. Second, I would like to stress Isis’ final goal is not chaos, it is dominion. Look at the state it had built in Syria and Iraq: a highly centralized state ruled according to strict rules – iron rules, but rules nonetheless.

And now comes a second surprise: European intelligentsia are unwittingly bent on instability, i.e., they are increasing instability through a series of actions.

Under these circumstances, Isis’ strategy – promising stability – is anything but naive. Keep reading

The USA after Charlottesville – A New Civil War?

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The USA, Charlottesville, instability and war

As I had foreseen, instability in the USA is going to grow more and more – a new civil “war” spilling into Europe can’t be ruled out. Charlottesville is the tip of an iceberg: the struggle between liberals and traditional America which elected Donald Trump.

 

A new civil war in the USA?
A new civil war in the USA? Civil War battle site – Chattanooga

Eight months ahead of presidential elections in the USA, I foresaw three events on the basis of an in-depth analysis:

  • Donal J. Trump could win the Republican ticket
  • Donal J. Trump could become the 45th president of the United States of America
  • Increasing instability in the USA due to the struggle between liberals and traditional America.

You can read my analysis (in Italian) in Rischi di Stabilita’ Geopolitica in USA?.

A few days before Americans went to the polls, I wrote an article which – among other things – analyzed two scenarios:

  • Hillary Clinton’s victory. I wrote: ‘… Whatever the outcome, whether the winner is Clinton or Trump, the USA will change forever …’
  • Donald Trump’s victory. I wrote: ‘… if liberal America loses presidential election (and, maybe, even congressional elections), will it accept the governance loss to the advantage of an America [traditional America] many liberals despise? If Hillary Clinton loses elections, the world will begin to change – the transition will probably be neither short nor painless: as regards the USA, I foresee tensions – notably racial ones – will grow more and more …’

Keep reading

Geopolitics, NGOs and other Non-state Actors – Three Case Studies

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NGOs and geopolitics - three case studies

Non-state actors (NSA), above all NGOs (Non-governmental Organizations), are influencing geopolitics more and more. The world is changing fast – by way of three case studies, I make an attempt at exploring how this is happening.

 

A ship similar to those used by some humanitarian NGOs - influencing immigration and shaping geopolitics
A ship similar to those used by some humanitarian NGOs – Influencing immigration and shaping geopolitics

The man on the road may have not taken note, but non-state actors and NGOs have become powerful influencing factors. If one read a newspaper, sorted through the web or watched the news, one could not help either reading or hearing the NGO term.

What about other non-state actors? Some examples: multinational corporations, religious groups, ISIS – a NSA so powerful, it turned into state entity.

Non-state actors are influencing the current state of affairs, directly dealing with governments, handling enormous amounts of money, getting public attention and so on.

Too many firms have not realized the world is changing, that it is not possible to export and internationalize without taking the NSA factor into account, that national states are more and more weaker.

Geopolitics is now shaped both by nation states – see Geopolitical Aspects of the Crisis between Qatar and Saudi Arabia for a recent example – and non-state actors.

Few people seem to have noticed this tendency yet; nonetheless, it exists and you should take note. Keep reading

Geopolitical Aspects of the Crisis between Qatar and Saudi Arabia

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Geopolitics - Doha, Qatar's capital, gives an idea of how important sea control is for the country

An analysis of the latest developments in the crisis between Saudi Arabia and Qatar – the situation is getting much worse and geopolitics are going to get complicated.

 

Qatar is going to receive F-15 American fighters
Qatar is going to receive F-15 American fighters

Chances are that you read my article Il Qatar ed il Medio Oriente – L’Inferno Geopolitico, at least if you speak Italian.

Today I am interested in analyzing latest developments, for what is happening between Qatar and Saudi Arabia – even if very few analysts are paying attention – is revealing.

In a few words, Saudi Arabia has accused Qatar of trying to internationalize Saudi holy sites which, as you will know, happen to include Islam’s most sacred site; every Muslim should visit that site at least once in his life – the Hajj pilgrimage.

The Saudis said what Qataris are trying to do amounts to a declaration of war on the Kingdom. Qatar answered by stating it has never called for such an internationalization; besides, it has lodged a complaint with the UN, expressing concerns about freedom of Hajj for Qataris.

As a consequence of the tension between Qatar and Saudi Arabia – and its allies – there have indeed been a lot of discussions on how to deal with this matter; as a result, no one has been able to understand the exact situation – it seems to depend on who is speaking.

Let’s delve into geopolitics. Keep reading